At Indianapolis -2.5 Kansas City
Someone’s gotta win this game. I thought Painter settled down and looked half-decent against Tampa Bay on Monday. He deserves to get the nod even if Kerry Collins is healthy. The Chiefs have improved steadily since their first two blowout losses to start the season. This will likely be a close game where the under is the most enticing play. Edge goes to Indy’s pass rush and a home crowd hungry for a W.
Pick: Colts -2.5

At Minnesota -2.5 Arizona
Both these teams have looked atrocious this year. The winless Vikings have blown leads and the Cardinals just can’t seem to get a rhythm going on offense, even with the great season that Beanie Wells is turning in. I’d stay away from this game cause either side you choose is bound to let you down.  I’m not picking a McNabb team to win anything ever again. If you have to make a pick here, go with the Cards.
Pick: Cardinals +2.5

Philadelphia -2.5 At Buffalo
Despite the painful offensive showing against Cincy, I still love these Bills. The Eagles are bound to turn things around, but all’s not right in Philly. I like a rebound win for the Bills over a back-to-the-wall win from the Eagles.
Pick: Bills +2.5

At Houston -6 Oakland
The loss and Andre Johnson is brutal, but lucky for Kubs and company, Arian Foster is back to his 2010 form. The Raiders are tough football team capable of competing for the AFC West crown, but they’re outmatched here. Houston builds on last week’s win against the Steelers and wins easy at home.
Pick: Texans -6

New Orleans -6.5 At Carolina
This game screams over, and you just know how this one will play out. The Saints will jump out to an early lead and Brees will look dominant. The Panthers will start slowish and then start playing a little looser as they realize their down. Then, the Cam Newton garbage time express will arrive in New Orleans. The Panthers will rack up crazy numbers while the Saints go into their typical mid-to-late game funk. In the end, Brees finds away to maintain the score separation and the Saints end the game with more points on the scoreboard.
Pick: Saints -6.5

At Jacksonville -2.5 Cincinnati
Yea it’s only Week 5, but don’t look now, the Bengals have the best defense in football! The Bengals aren’t going to ride their staunch D, decent ground game and solid rookie QB/WR combo to the playoffs, but they’re going to win games like this.
Pick: Bengals +2.5

At Pittsburgh -3 Tennessee
The Steelers are broken. Pouncey’s hurt. Mendenhall is likely out for this game. James Harrison is out for awhile with a busted face/eye socket. Big Ben should play, but he can’t sustain anymore d-lineman lunching at his knees this year. The Titans are benefiting from a strong defense and steady play at quarterback. I expect the underachieving Steelers to step it up this week and get the most out of their makeshift o-line and battered roster. Isaac Redman will run hard and make the most out of his first start. The Steelers will find ways to get point on the board and edge out the Titans at home.
Pick: Steelers -3

At NY Giants -10 Seattle
Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz are suddenly a dominating one-two punch. Eli Manning has looked sharp the past two games; he’s thrown six TDs and zero interceptions the last two weeks. If Eli Manning can maintain this career-year pace this week, the Giants should have no trouble beating the Seahawks by a couple scores in the Meadowlands.
Pick: Giants -10

At San Francisco -3 Tampa Bay
The 49ers are legit. They’re 4-0 against the spread this year and they’ve earned the right to be home favorites this week. Tampa Bay’s a weird team to judge. They thrive on little dump passes, bruising short-to-medium range runs and solid 4th quarter closing skills. But they still haven’t looked all that impressive. San Francisco is playing inspired. Frank Gore’s back, Harbaugh’s all fired up and even the much maligned Alex Smith has looked more comfortable the past couple weeks. Add in a stingy defense and you got the recipe for a potential division championship.
Pick: Niners -3

At New England -9 NY Jets
The Pats defense is as terrible as their offense is awesome. It’s really a crazy contrast. New England had the worst defense in the league before they lost standout LB Jerod Mayo. The Jets have their own set of problems. They can’t run the ball and Sanchez just isn’t getting the protection he needs to succeed through the air. You just know Rex is gonna whip these guys into shape this week. I’d feel much more comfortable picking the Pats with a friendlier spread. I really don’t see this turning into a blowout, but I can’t pick against New England’s explosive offense.
Pick: Pats -9

San Diego -4 At Denver
As much as I love Eric Decker, I can’t really get behind the Broncos on either side of the ball, even at home. This is one of those classic AFC West matchups that I have no interest in watching. I don’t know what it is about Chargers games, but they just always feel like the most boring games of the day on Sundays.  It’s gotta be that way.
Pick: Chargers -4

Green Bay -5.5 At Atlanta
The Falcons have trouble stopping the pass. The Packers can score at will through the air. We all know that the Falcons play better at home, but that’s not enough of an edge for them to take out the high-octane champs. Green Bay gets the best of the Falcons in a shoot out.
Pick: Packers -5.5

At Detroit -5.5 Chicago
The Lions hype won’t stop this week or next. This team’s just way fun to watch. Nasty big guys upfront on both sides of the ball, dynamic QB play, come-from-behind victories, Megatron dominating in triple coverage, what more could you want?
Pick: Lions -5.5

Last Week: 10-6
Season: 36-26-2 ATS

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