At Chicago -7.5 NY Giants
The Giants have been outscored by 100 points this season. Only the Jags have a larger point differential (-112). That’s bad. Real bad. The Bears have dropped their last two after starting 3-0, but the Bears are third in the league in takeaways (14). The Giants are the league leaders in giveaways (20). The winless streak will continue for the G-Men.
Pick: Da Bears -7.5

At Kansas City -9 Oakland
The spread seems kinda high. I mean the Chiefs are undefeated, playing good football, not turning the ball over and playing at home. But the Raiders under Pryor aren’t exactly pushovers either. Especially if McFadden can get back on the field. I say the Chiefs win but the gap is closer than 9.
Pick: Raiders+9

Philadelphia -1.5 At Tampa Bay
The Bucs seem like a team destined for a new coach and a high draft pick. The Eagles moved the ball well when Nick Foles took over for an injured Michael Vick, so if Vick can’t go, the offense shouldn’t suffer that much.
Pick: Eagles -1.5

Green Bay -3 At Baltimore
Tough call here. I like the Packers, but the Ravens are 2-0 at home and the Packers are 0-2 on the road. Edge goes to the team with the better passing attack.
Pick: Packers -3

Detroit -2.5 At Cleveland
It’s hard to not like the Browns. They’ve been so bad for so long. The Lions without Calvin Johnson appear a bit toothless. Defenses can just key in on Reggie. I’m going Browns as home dogs here, even with Weeden behind center.
Pick: Browns +2.5

At Minnesota -2.5 Carolina
Josh Freeman won’t get the call just yet, so the Freeman era will have to wait in Minny. The Panthers can’t seem to get things clicking on both sides of the ball. The D shows up and the offense stalls. Maybe Cam can put a complete game together in Week 6.
Pick: Panthers +2.5

At Houston -7.5 St. Louis
The Rams beat up on the Jags last week, but that’s not saying much. Schaub is under fire big time in Houston, and he’ll be without safety valve Owen Daniels and potentially without Andre Johnson as well this Sunday. I think Schaub will show up and keep Kubs off the hot seat, at least temporarily.
Pick: Texans -7.5

At NY Jets -2.5 Pittsburgh
It’s now or never for Pittsburgh. Coming off the bye week, the rest of the AFC North sits at 3-2. If the Steelers can’t force any turnovers, they will lose. They’re the second team in NFL history to have zero forced turnovers in the first four games. Ouch. The Jets are all swagger and sunshine after upsetting Atlanta. I say the Steelers D shows up, the ground game finds some space and the Steelers get win #1.
Pick: Steelers +2.5

Cincinnati -7.5 At Buffalo
Thad Lewis vs. a team that shut down Tom Brady? Let’s go with the Bengals.
Pick: Bengals -7.5

At Seattle -13.5 Tennessee
I’m not buying this Ryan Fitzpatrick does a great Jake Locker impression situation. Seahawks at home against a team that’s not as good as it’s 3-2 record suggests.
Pick: Seahawks -13.5

At Denver -27.5 Jacksonville
Do you really want to bet on this game? The highest spread in NFL history is bound to get plenty of action. The Jags have yet to cover a spread, but professional players on a shitty team can still find the motivation to not lose by four touchdowns.
Pick: Jags +27.5

At San Francisco -11 Arizona
The Niners win a game dominated by lots of Frank Gore touches.
Pick: Niners -11

At New England -2.5 New Orleans
Gronk is back as the Saints come marching into New England with a spotless record. Gronk can’t fix everything, though. The D-line is busted. The points aren’t flowing like they used to. People need to stop fumbling. On the flipside the Saints look strong in all phases. I think they escape New England with their undefeated streak intact.
Pick: Saints +2.5

At Dallas -5.5 Washington
Poor Romo. Even when you throw for 500+ yards, people still get bitter about the last mistake you made. After coming up short against the Broncos, the Cowboys should be able to do some damage against the league’s worst defense.
Pick: Cowboys -5.5

Indianapolis -1.5 At San Diego
I picked the Colts last week as home dogs, and I like ‘em on the road here as well.
Pick: Colts -1.5

Last Week: 8-6
Season: 36-39-2
Last Season: 136-121-5

Related Posts

  1. Week 14 NFL Picks
  2. Week 15 NFL Picks
  3. Week 9 NFL Picks
  4. Week 16 NFL Picks
  5. NFL Week 13 Picks