At San Diego -7.5 Kansas City
Norv Turner keeps his job for at least one more week. The Chargers benefit from hosting a team that’s a bigger mess than they are.
Pick: Chargers -7.5

Denver -3.5 At Cincinnati
Peyton keeps rolling along as Denver’s D puts the clamps down on Dalton.
Pick: Broncos -3.5

At Green Bay- 11 Arizona
After winning four games in a row, Arizona has lost five straight. The bleeding won’t stop this week. The Packers are a bit challenged when it comes to covering the spread, but they seem to have an easier time achieving this at home.
Pick: Packers -11

Miami -2.5 At Indianapolis
I kicked myself for not picking the Fins last week. This team is just a tough squad to close out. The Colts pulled out a win in overtime last week, and they do enjoy playing at home (3-1 at home, 1-2 on the road).  After watching Hard Knocks, who woulda thought that Miami would be a winning team going into the second half of the season.
Pick: Dolphins -2.5

Baltimore -3.5 At Cleveland
Call me crazy, but I think the Browns can do it. The Ravens are coming off a bey and they’re all well rested and everything, but their defense looked terrible before the bye. The Browns can run on these guys.
Pick: Browns +3.5

At Houston -10 Buffalo
The Bills have been blown out by teams that aren’t as dangerous as the Texans. This one could get ugly.
Pick: Texans -10

At Washington -3 Carolina
Carolina lost a heartbreaker last week. They totally had that game. The Skins really need this game if they want to get out of the NFC East basement. With both teams desperate for a win, I see a back and forth battle here. Both teams can run, but RG3 > Cam.
Pick: Skins -3

Detroit -4 At Jacksonville
The Jags aren’t going to go down easy, but the Lions have rediscovered their swagger.
Pick: Lions -4

Chicago -3.5 At Tennessee
This Bears team is frustrating. They can hang with tough teams and then they look vulnerable against teams they should beat. This Chris Johnson fun stops this week and the Bears come in and knock the Titans around.
Pick: Bears -3.5

At Seattle -5 Minnesota
The shine has faded from Christian Ponder and the Seahawks are undefeated at home. They can run and stop the run. A big day from Percy won’t be enough to overcome all that. I’d feel more confident if the spread was lower, but you gotta like Seattle here.
Pick: Seahawks -5

At Oakland -1.5 Tampa Bay
Freeman has stepped up his game and Doug Martin is in full-on breakout mode. Palmer likes finding Moore in the endzone, but there’s too many holes to cover in Oakland. Bucs are cleaning house and buying in.
Pick: Bucs +1.5

At NY Giants -3 Pittsburgh
If Dwyer plays, the Steelers will pound the rock, dink and dunk, control the clock, keep Eli on the sidelines and squeak out a win in a tight game.
Pick: Steelers +3

At Atlanta -4 Dallas
The Falcons are good. The Spread should be at least 7.
Pick: Falcons -4

At New Orleans-3 Philadelphia
You get the feeling that things are going to get blown up in Philly. The Saints can’t do anything on defense, but there’s just something about that offense in the dome that you just can’t bet against.
Pick: Saints -3

Last Week: 6-6
Season 54-59-2
Last Season: 140-120-12

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