Thursday’s pick was the right call thanks to some Vegas-busting decision making by John Harbaugh. 1-0 so far in Week 7 with twelve more games to go…

At Buffalo -3.5 Tennessee
Chris Johnson’s working on a mini-resurgence here. He put up 141 rushing yards against Houston and 91 yards on Pittsburgh. Now he gets to face a defense that gives up a league-worst 5.8 yards per carry. The Bills didn’t look all that shoddy on defense last week though, when they ended Arizona’s eight game home winning streak. For all the drama on defense this season, the Bills are still in the hunt in the all-tied-up AFC East. They can build on last week’s win. The Titans haven’t won on the road yet.
Pick: Bills -3.5

At Minnesota -6.5 Arizona
Two 4-2 teams both coming off losses. The Vikings haven’t lost at home yet, and I’m tempted to think that streak will continue.
Pick: Vikings -6.5

At Indianapolis -2.5 Cleveland
Richardson is optimistic he’ll be back this week which is good news for the Browns, as the Colts are allowing 159 yards a game and 5 yards per carry. Andrew Luck plays well at home, but there’s just something about this Brown’s team that gives them the edge. Maybe it’s their trio of rookie playmakers (Weeden, Richardson and Gordon). Maybe it’s the fact that Joe Haden’s back. I dunno what it is, but I like this team. Playing in Indy will be a true test, because that home crowd is all high on Chuck Strong vibes. If the Browns can get the win this weekend, they’re no longer going to be an easy out for anyone.
Pick: Browns +2.5

At Houston -6.5 Baltimore
The Ravens just own people at home, but the team is much less dominant on the road. The Texans have to be bitter about their big loss to the Packers. I think they’ll run the ball right down Baltimore’s throat. Suggs may be back soon, but this defense isn’t as fearful as it used to be.
Pick: Texans -6.5

Green Bay -5.5 At St. Louis
The Rams haven’t lost yet at home, but that ends this week. The Packers needed a big win to get things rolling again. They’ll keep throttle going and pick up where they left off last week. Lock of the week material, this.
Pick: Packers -5.5

Dallas -2 At Carolina
In the battle of the leagues two most inconsistent teams, it’s hard to be confident about either side. When the Panthers are running the ball well, they can do some damage. When the Cowboys are moving the chains through the air, they look like they can hang with anyone. Too often it’s stalled drives, self-inflicted wounds and untimely turnovers that derail both of these teams. I’m thinking Dallas can put together a solid game to remind people that they still have the talent to find a sweet spot from time to time.
Pick: Cowboys -2

At NY Giants -6 Washington
The Skins beat the Giants twice last year, and that was without RG3. New York’s only two losses have come within the division. If the G-Men want to maintain their lead status in the NFC East, they need to take care of business at home. Look for Coughlin’s squad to come out prepared for the importance of this game.
Pick: Giants -6

New Orleans -2.5 At Tampa Bay
The Saints really have some issues on defense, and activating Vilma’s not going to change all that. The Bucs are going to run all over the Saints, but I just can’t close the books on Brees and company bouncing back after a dreadful start to the season.
Pick: Saints -2.5

At New England -10.5 NY Jets
The Pats will remind everyone that the AFC East isn’t as wide open as it seems.
Pick: Pats -10.5

At Oakland -4 Jacksonville
This is going to be the type of game that makes you wonder whether the Raiders can be a really great team. They’re not obviously, but they’ll sure look like a great team this Sunday. Bank on big plays in the passing game from Palmer and big takeaways from Oakland’s D.
Pick: Raiders -4

Pittsburgh -1 At Cincinnati
Man, the Steelers looked like shit last Thursday. RBs and O-lineman we’re dropping like flies. Ike Taylor was getting worked over and the Man of Troy was sorely missed. The Steelers have had time to rest up, but Big Ben tweaked an ankle during practice on Thursday. I’m sure it won’t be a big factor, but still, this team is missing key players, sitting at 2-3 and Polomalu-less heading into this weekend. Cincy’s going to make some big plays against this suspect secondary. With makeshift lineman in there, it’s going to be hard for spot starter RB Jonathan Dwyer to make some plays, but I think Ben’s gonna fling it around to his playmakers and get enough points on the board to get the Steelers back to .500.
Pick: Steelers -1

At Chicago -6 Detroit
The Lions have a banged up secondary and Jay Cutler is coming off back-to-back good games. Factor in some extra rest for Matt Forte (who typically performs well against Detroit) and the Bears should be able to take this one at home.
Pick: Bears -6

Last Week: 4-10
Season 42-48-1
Last Season: 140-120-12

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